To examine the influences of nature (genetics) and nurture
(environment) on a given human quality, scientists study twins.
To appreciate how these studies work, it’s first important to
understand there are two types of twins. Identical twins share all of their DNA
and, assuming they grow up in the same household, they will also share all of
their environment. Fraternal twins also share all of their environment, but
only around half of their DNA, just like non-twin siblings.
Twin studies start by defining a clear population, say the
metropolitan area of a city, and finding as many sets of twins as possible in
that area where one or both of the twins have the given trait of interest – in
this case, autism.
Scientists then look at the “concordance” of that trait – that
is, the percentage chance that if one twin has autism, the other twin will also
have autism. If the concordance is higher for identical twins than fraternal
twins, then we can say the difference is due to the increased amount of genetic
material shared by the identical twins, and that autism is influenced by
genetics.
The first twin study of autism was
conducted in 1977 on 11 identical and ten fraternal twins across Great Britain,
where at least one of the twins had autism. Concordance for identical twins was
36%, compared to 0% for the fraternal twins.
While the study was only small in size, it provided the first
evidence that autism may be genetic in origin. Since this pioneering study,
more than a dozen further twin studies have
confirmed this original observation.
The best current estimate is that there is a 50-80% concordance
for identical twins and a 5-20% concordance for fraternal twins. This indicates
a strong genetic component to the condition. The figure for fraternal twins –
5-20% – also represents the chance of a couple who already have a child with
autism having a second child with autism (referred to as the “recurrence
risk”).
Once scientists have established that the cause of a disorder is
influenced by genes, the next task is to identify the exact genes that might be
involved. However, after several decades of intensive research, scientists
could find no one genetic mutation that all individuals diagnosed with autism
shared.
It was these findings (or lack
of findings) that led scientists to stop thinking of autism as one condition
with one cause. They started viewing it as many different conditions which all
have relatively similar behavioural symptoms.
This new view of autism has proved extremely fruitful in
discovering subtypes of autism. For example, a number of conditions have very
clear genetic or chromosomal abnormalities that can lead to autistic
behaviours.
These include disorders that have abnormalities of the
chromosomes, such as Down syndrome. While no chromosomal condition itself
accounts for any more than 1% of individuals with autism, when combined they
account for approximately 10-15% of all individuals diagnosed with autism.
The exact genetic abnormalities that may lead to the remaining
cases of autism are not completely clear. There are two reasons for this.
The first is that the genetic regions involved are likely to be
very complex. Scientists have needed to develop new techniques to examine them.
The second is that it is probable the genetic mutations are very
rare and complex. The DNA chain that forms our chromosomes contains more than 3
billion building blocks. To identify small pieces of DNA that may be linked to
the development of autism among so many base pairs, scientists need to study a
very large number of people with autism.
To date, no study has been able to examine the thousands of
people necessary to identify with accuracy all of the small mutations that
might lead to autism.
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